Lernayin vs FC Urartu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
54.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
82
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
LER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
NOA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
VAN
4 - 0
LER
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
LER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Urartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
BAN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
NOA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 5
BAN
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
SHI
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |