Lernayin vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
LER
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 4
BAN
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
LER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
NOA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
NOA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 4
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |