Lernayin vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 3
LER
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LER
1 - 0
JSF
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LER
0 - 2
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LER
0 - 3
BKM
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 4
WAR
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BKM
3 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
ALA
40%
23%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 2
NOV
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
ARA
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |