Lernayin vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 4
LER
23%
22%
54%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
DIL
4 - 2
LER
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
LER
3 - 0
PYU
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
SHI
3 - 1
LER
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 3
WAR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
PYU
2 - 1
ARA
12%
17%
70%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
4 - 0
SHI
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
JSF
4 - 2
ARA
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |