Lernayin vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PYU
0 - 5
LER
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
LER
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LER
2 - 0
GAN
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BKM
0 - 1
LER
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
LER
1 - 0
SHI
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
GAN
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
PYU
1 - 1
ALA
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 2
BKM
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SHI
6 - 0
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 2
GAN
12%
22%
66%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |