Lernayin vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PYU
0 - 3
LER
26%
22%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LER
3 - 4
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 4
LER
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
LER
2 - 0
ARA
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 2
PYU
69%
17%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 3
LER
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 1
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BKM
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |