Lernayin II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
12º
12º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
LAR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
4 - 3
LAR
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 5
SYU
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 3
SHI
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAR
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
MIK
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 3
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 2
WAR
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 2
GAN
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 1
MIK
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |