Lerik PFK vs Sumgayit analysis


6	ELO	65
1.7%	Tilt	0%
50924º	General ELO ranking	1221º
115º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

4.7%

Lerik PFK

11.7%

Draw

83.6%

Sumgayit

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

4.7%

Win probability

0.51

Expected goals

4-0

<0%

+4

<0%

3-0

0.1%

4-1

<0%

+3

0.1%

2-0

0.5%

3-1

0.2%

4-2

<0%

+2

0.8%

1-0

2%

2-1

1.4%

3-2

0.3%

4-3

<0%

+1

3.8%

11.7%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

5.5%

2-2

1.9%

3-3

0.3%

4-4

<0%

0

11.7%

83.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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