Lerchenfeld vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUM
7 - 2
LER
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
DUR
49%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
LER
6 - 3
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCK
3 - 0
LER
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LER
0 - 2
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
THI
2 - 5
FCS
50%
23%
28%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 1
THI
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
THI
6 - 3
BUM
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
THI
3 - 0
FCL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |