Lerchenfeld vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BUM
2 - 5
LER
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LER
2 - 1
BER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LER
0 - 1
ALL
46%
22%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BIN
2 - 1
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LER
1 - 2
FCK
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MUT
5 - 0
BUM
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 3
BER
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
3 - 0
MUT
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MUT
2 - 0
BIN
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |