Lerchenfeld vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALL
3 - 1
LER
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
LIE
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CON
2 - 7
LER
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
LER
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LER
5 - 2
BAS
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MUT
3 - 1
FCK
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
MUT
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 3
MUT
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 0
MUT
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BST
5 - 4
MUT
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |