Lerchenfeld vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 0
LER
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LER
2 - 1
BIN
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
LER
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LER
3 - 0
KIR
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
LER
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCK
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MUT
2 - 1
MOU
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
ALL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 2
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 3
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |