Lerchenfeld vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
4 - 2
LER
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 2
LER
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LER
3 - 2
BUM
80%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
LER
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
4 - 1
MUT
16%
17%
67%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
3 - 1
GRU
65%
17%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 3
BER
37%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ALL
8 - 0
GRU
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
GRU
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |