Lerchenfeld vs Gränichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
LER
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LER
8 - 2
DUL
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 3
LER
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LER
0 - 2
MOU
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WOH
2 - 0
LER
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
OLT
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
5 - 0
GRA
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LAN
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCK
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |