Lerchenfeld vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
BAV
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
THI
2 - 0
LER
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LER
2 - 1
GUM
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 0
LER
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
LER
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
2 - 5
FCS
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 4
THI
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 3
ROM
31%
23%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
5 - 1
FCS
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |