Lerchenfeld vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LER
2 - 2
LAN
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIM
3 - 1
LER
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
GRU
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
4 - 2
LER
26%
20%
54%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
MUT
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BUM
0 - 1
DOR
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 3
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ALL
4 - 0
DOR
58%
21%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
BIN
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |