Lerchenfeld vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LER
1 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
LER
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
MOU
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 0
LER
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LER
2 - 1
BIN
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
CON
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
MUT
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 0
CON
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
LIE
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
DOR
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |