Lerchenfeld vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
LER
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LER
4 - 2
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LER
4 - 1
TAV
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
2 - 3
MUT
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BUM
1 - 1
GUM
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
BUM
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BUM
1 - 0
STA
42%
23%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BUL
2 - 0
BUM
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |