Lerchenfeld vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LER
0 - 1
ALL
46%
22%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BIN
2 - 1
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LER
1 - 2
FCK
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
0 - 1
LER
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LER
1 - 1
DOR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 3
BER
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BER
1 - 3
BUM
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BER
3 - 3
FCP
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
2 - 1
BER
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BER
4 - 2
BIN
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |