Lerchenfeld vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
ROM
6 - 2
LER
44%
22%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 0
LER
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
2 - 4
LER
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LER
0 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
BAV
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 2
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
BAV
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
THI
5 - 0
BER
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
GUM
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |