Lerchenfeld vs Allschwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BIN
2 - 1
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LER
1 - 2
FCK
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
0 - 1
LER
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LER
1 - 1
DOR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
40%
23%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
3 - 0
MUT
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BUM
0 - 2
ALL
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
2 - 1
BER
54%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 0
FCP
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BIN
0 - 1
ALL
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |