Lerchenfeld vs Allschwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 1
LER
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LER
1 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
LER
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
MOU
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
FCK
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 1
ALL
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 1
DOR
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 1
ALL
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 0
CON
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |