LePa vs Espoon Palloseura FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LePa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEP
2 - 1
FCS
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
IVU
1 - 9
LEP
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
PKA
1 - 9
LEP
10%
14%
76%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
LEP
1 - 2
PON
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
LEP
1 - 4
PON
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Espoon Palloseura FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
EPF
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PK3
2 - 1
EPF
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EPF
5 - 2
TAM
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
EPF
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EPF
6 - 0
IKI
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |