Leotar vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
11º
48
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 1
LEO
81%
13%
5%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 2
SLO
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 0
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLO
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
SLO
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
SIR
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SIR
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
VEL
37%
29%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |