Leotar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
57.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
11º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
BBL
14%
25%
61%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 0
SLO
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
LEO
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 0
SIR
16%
27%
57%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
HSU
1 - 3
LEO
4%
10%
86%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 0
SAR
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
IGM
75%
18%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
SAR
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ČEL
1 - 1
SAR
18%
24%
59%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |