Leotar vs Igman Konjic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
11º
37
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 1
LEO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
SAR
16%
26%
58%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
BBL
14%
25%
61%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 0
SLO
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Igman Konjic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
ZEL
11%
24%
65%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
IGM
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
IGM
1 - 0
VEL
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
POS
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SLO
5 - 1
IGM
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |