Leonfortese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEO
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
LEO
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAV
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
SIR
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 1
RAA
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DTO
0 - 0
SIR
18%
24%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
5 - 1
GEL
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | +1 |