Leonfortese vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
LEO
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEO
30%
23%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 3
SCO
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
LEO
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
RAA
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 1
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 0
TBR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |