Leonfortese vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NFR
5 - 1
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
USV
36%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
LEO
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
LEO
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
ROC
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 1
RAA
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 0
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
GEL
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |