Leones Negros II vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
7º
10º
11º
17
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
NAY
14%
20%
67%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
LEO
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
EST
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
LEO
24%
20%
56%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CFC
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
ZAC
0 - 4
LCU
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 2
ZAC
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
HDZ
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |