Leones Negros II vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
12º
9º
0
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
21.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
DUR
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 0
LEO
10%
15%
74%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
CSI
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CSI
1 - 0
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 1
ATS
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TDA
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CSI
3 - 0
MIN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
CSI
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |