Leones Negros II vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
4 - 0
LEO
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LCU
1 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 3
CSI
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HDZ
1 - 1
LEO
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
MIN
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
LCU
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSI
3 - 1
MFC
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 2
HDZ
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
6 - 1
MFC
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
ZAC
9%
17%
74%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |