Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 4-2
Leones vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 2
RSC
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 3
LEO
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
AFC
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 1
BJC
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
COR
3 - 3
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
5 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BOG
3 - 1
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
BJC
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |