Leones vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 3
LEO
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 1
LEO
37%
25%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 2
RSC
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 3
LEO
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 3
LEO
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
5 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |