Leones vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
AFC
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 0
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 3
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
REA
0 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |