1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Leones vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 2
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
LEO
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
CUC
43%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
ENV
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 1
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
REA
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
REA
0 - 4
BUC
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |