Leones vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
QUI
43%
30%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
LEO
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
ORS
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 0
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
LLA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
RSC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BJC
1 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
5 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |