Leones vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
RSC
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -3 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 2
PER
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 3
ONC
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 2
ONC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
SFE
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
ONC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 2
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |