Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEO
21%
28%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 0
LEO
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
ENV
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
LEO
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
REA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
4 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |