Leones vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
LLA
32%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
BAR
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 2
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 3
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
ENV
4 - 1
AME
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |