Leones vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
LEO
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 1
AGU
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
LEO
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 1
LEO
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 0
CAL
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 1
ENV
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 3
NAC
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAS
3 - 0
ENV
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |