Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 3-3
Leones vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
PAT
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
SFE
2 - 1
LEO
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
MIL
16%
25%
59%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
AFC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
COR
3 - 2
PER
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |