Leones vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 4
LEO
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAR
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
QUI
32%
30%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEO
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
LLA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
ORS
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
AME
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |