Leones vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CUC
3 - 2
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
AFC
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 0
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 2
QUI
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 0
RSC
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |