Leones vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
LEO
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ORS
2 - 0
LEO
32%
30%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
AFC
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 4
LEO
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAR
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
4 - 1
ORS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
BOG
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
4 - 0
UNI
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
BOG
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
QUI
19%
27%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |