Leones vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
LEO
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
UNI
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
BUC
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 1
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOG
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |