Leones vs Boca Juniors de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
4º
1
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 28 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 28 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 28 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 26 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 26 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 25 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 25 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 23 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 22 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 21 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 20 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 17 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 17 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 13 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 12 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
78.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 2
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
COR
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
BJC
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BJC
2 - 0
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 1
BJC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
BJC
22%
26%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 0
ORS
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |