León de Huánuco vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León de Huánuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
LEO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
GAR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 3
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 1
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
GAR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |