León vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
4 - 1
VER
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
LEO
27%
23%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
LEO
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
SAP
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEO
6 - 2
TIJ
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
LOB
4 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
LEO
27%
23%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 2
UDG
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
DOR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -2 |