Clausura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 7-0
León vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 1
PUM
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
LOB
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 2
REB
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 0
PUM
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 1
REB
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |